2008 Workshop Panels and Presentations Recordings
Analyzing Future 21st Century National Security Challenges: Strategic Reconnaissance and Creative Thinking to Prevent Strategic Surprise
Individual Presentations
Commandant's Welcome
MG Robert Williams, USAWC
Admin and Proteus Workshop Overview and Remarks, Mr. Bill Waddell, CSL
Tuesday Morning Presentation:
"Vision 2015 A Global Networked and Integrated Intelligence Enterprise," Patrick Gorman, ADDNI/Strategy, Plans and Policy ODNI
Tuesday Keynote:
"Strategic Reconnaissance in an Age of Complexity," Mr. Kenneth Knight, National Intelligence Officer for Warning, ODNI
Tuesday Luncheon Presentation:
"Trends and Shocks in the Future Security Environment," Dr. Thomas G. Mahnken, Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Policy Planning
Tuesday Dinner Presentation:
"The Millennium Project and Some Long-term Strategic Issues," Dr. Jerome C. Glenn, Director, Millennium Project, WFUNA
Wednesday Morning Presentation:
"The Extreme Future: Towards a New Paradigm for Forecasting and Managing Global Risk in the 21st Century," Dr. James Canton, CEO & Chairman, Institute for Global Futures Presentation | Q and A
Tuesday Late Morning Presentation:
"Futures Education: A Critical National Priority," Dr. Peter C. Bishop, University of Houston
Tuesday Luncheon Presentation:
"State 2025: 21st Century Diplomatic Challenges," Mr. Andrew Reynolds, Deputy and Chief of Staff, Office of the Science and Technology Advisor to the Secretary of State
Panel #1:
"Future Trends and Implications in Governance, Politics, and Conflict." Moderator: Dr. Phil Williams, Visiting Scholar, Proteus USA
"Geopolitics: the Future of Nation States," Dr. Phil Williams
"Getting it Right the Second Time; Recreating a Stable World Order at the Edge of Chaos," Dr. Thomas Bowditch, Strategic Initiatives Group, Center for Naval Analyses
"Groupcraft and National Security," William G. Glenney, IV, Deputy Dir, CNO Strategic Studies Group
"Transparency and Geopolitics: Future Issues," Matt Sollenberger and Josh Calder, Social Technologies
"Patterns, Trends and Force Implications," Colonel Steven Zotti, Director, Strategic Vision Group , U.S. Marine Corps
"Return From Westphalia: The Blurring of Identity, Politics, and Security," Dr. David Kanin, Long Range Ethnic Religious and Identity Issues, ODNI
Panel #2
"Future Trends and Implications in Economics, Resources, Globalization and the Environment." Moderator: Ms. Carol Dumaine, Energy and Environmental Security, Office of Intelligence and Counterintelligence, U. S. Department of Energy
"Mixing Oil and Water: Are ‘resource wars' the wave of future international conflicts?" (includes panel intro) Mr. Arnold C. Dupuy, PhD candidate, VA Polytechnic Institute and State University, National Capitol Region Campus
"Implications of Globalization and Environmental Change in the Maritime Arctic," Dr. Lawson W. Brigham, Deputy, U.S. Arctic Research Commission
"Leveraging Intelligence of the Whole: An Ecosystem Approach To Strategic Intelligence on Energy and Environmental Security," Ms. Carol Dumaine
Panel #3
"Future Trends and Implications in Demography, Societies and Cultures." Moderator: Dr. Joseph Chamie, Center for Migration Studies
"Population Aging and US National Security" Dr. Jennifer Dabbs Sciubba, Rhodes College
"Doing Windows in Wanlaweyn? Youth Bulges, Culture, and Governance in the U.S. Central Command States," Col Otto J. Rutt, USMC
"Demographics and Future Global Security," Dr. Joseph Chamie, Center for Migration Studies
"Future Catastrophic Convergence 2030: Transnational Criminals, Jihadi Terrorist Networks, and WMD," Mr. Jeremy Tamsett, Henley-Putnam University
"The Future of Transnational Organized Crime: Political Branches, Economic Roots - A Case Study of Russian Organized Crime," Ms. Heather Williams, Analytic Services, Inc.
Panel # 4 A&B "Future Trends and Implications in Science and Technology." Moderators: Mr. Kevin Cogan, Command and Control Group, US Army War College and Mr. Tim Rosenberg, White Wolf Security
Panel # 4A
"Technology Acceleration: Sense-Shoot-Command on the Battlefield After Next," (includes intro) Mr. Kevin Cogan
"Cyber Threats; The Shortsighted Long View," Dr. Tom Longstaff, Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Laboratory
"The New Technologies and the World Ahead: The Top 20 Plus 5," Dr. James H. Irvine and Ms. Sandra Schwarzbach, U.S. Naval Air Warfare Center Weapons Division, Revolution In Military Affairs Center
"Implications of Trends in Biometric Technologies: Military Opportunities and Challenges," Lt Colonel Rod Azama (USA Ret.), The Chancellor Group and Mr. Sam DeWolfe, Computer Sciences Corporation
Panel # 4B
"Future Information Technology Trends, Threats and Opportunities," Mr. Tim Rosenberg, White Wolf Security
"Wiring Societies of Minds for Survival: Reflections on Networked Brains, Choice, and Change," Dr. Margaret M. Polski, Center for the Study of Neuro-Economics, George Mason University
"Challenges of Resource Integration for C2 Collaborations Within Virtual Environments," Mr. Robert Holder and Mr. R. Scott Cost, Johns Hopkins University, Applied Physics Laboratory
"Management of R&D: Planning for the Accelerating Pace of Technologies," Mr. Edward Zelinski, Director, Strategic Operations, Northrop Grumman Corporation
Panel #5 A&B "Advanced Futures and Foresight Analytical Methods, Processes and Approaches." Moderators: Mr. Michael Jeffress, National Intelligence Office for Warning and Mr. Robert Allen, G2, U.S Army Training and Doctrine Command
Panel # 5A
"Assessing Foresight Capabilities," Ms. Terry E. Grim, Social Technologies Inc.
"Advance Futures: Collaborative Foresight," Dr. Michael Jackson, Shaping Tomorrow
"The Project on National Security Reform (PNSR):Vision Working Group Methodology and National Security Scenarios," Sheila R. Ronis, PhD, PNSR Vision Working Group, Walsh College
"Complementing the NIC Report: Adding Important Domains, Providing Alternatives to Selected NIC Conclusions," Dr. Barton Kunstler, Author, Independent Consultant
Panel # 5B
"U.S. Army Future Methodologies: A Look at 2025 and Beyond," Mr. Robert Allen, Office of the Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, U.S. Army, TRADOC
"Trend Analysis as Pattern Recognition," Dr. Stephen M. Millett, Futuring Associates LLC
"Imagination Management: Visualizing Future Scenarios," Dr. David J. Staley, Department of History, The Ohio State University and The D Staley Group LLC
"Long Tail Intelligence: Leveraging Niche Capabilities for Strategic Insight," Mr. Joshua Work, iSIGHT Partners
"The Power to Change the World: 22 Signature Patterns of Change," Mr. Graham Molitor, Public Policy Forecasting, LLC
Panel Wrap-up and Way Ahead, Mr. Bill Waddell